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Crisis escalation from autonomous weapon systems: agent-based modeling for military-technology assessment

dc.contributor.authorLemke,Ole
dc.contributor.authorAltmann,Jürgen
dc.contributor.authorDegeling,Martin
dc.contributor.editorDemmler, Daniel
dc.contributor.editorKrupka, Daniel
dc.contributor.editorFederrath, Hannes
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-28T17:10:38Z
dc.date.available2022-09-28T17:10:38Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractAutonomous weapon systems (AWS) are not yet established, but strong military motives exist to develop and introduce them. A major fear is that they could deteriorate the stability in a crisis between two actors. To investigate this problem, we use agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS). Here one AWS fleet patrols the perimeter of a protected area while a second moves outside. AWS of the first shoot if they sense being attacked or if AWS of the second enter the protected area. Errors in attack detection or in position determination can lead to escalation from crisis into war. The escalation probability is evaluated with a variation of these errors. Moreover, we elaborate on the shortcomings of ABMS in general.en
dc.identifier.doi10.18420/inf2022_59
dc.identifier.isbn978-3-88579-720-3
dc.identifier.pissn1617-5468
dc.identifier.urihttps://dl.gi.de/handle/20.500.12116/39560
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherGesellschaft für Informatik, Bonn
dc.relation.ispartofINFORMATIK 2022
dc.relation.ispartofseriesLecture Notes in Informatics (LNI) - Proceedings, Volume P-326
dc.subjectautonomous weapon systems
dc.subjectmilitary-technology assessment
dc.subjectpreventive arms control
dc.subjectagent-based modeling and simulation
dc.subjectcrisis escalation
dc.titleCrisis escalation from autonomous weapon systems: agent-based modeling for military-technology assessmenten
gi.citation.endPage728
gi.citation.startPage723
gi.conference.date26.-30. September 2022
gi.conference.locationHamburg
gi.conference.sessiontitleInformatik & Gesellschaft - Zukunft gestalten / IUG2022

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