Flörke, MartinaIsoard, StéphaneAlcamo, JosephHřebíček, J.Ráček, J.2019-09-162019-09-162005https://dl.gi.de/handle/20.500.12116/27280One of the major objectives of this study was to improve our water use models by using country-specific historical data and to produce quantitative estimates of the future water use in Europe-30 up to 2030, including the impact of climate change. In order to assess the future water use situation in the Europe-30 region, a scenario and a modeling approach were combined. In this paper, we present the results of a baseline scenario reflecting a continuation of current trends over the time horizon from the base year 2000 to 2030. Depending on this scenario, the trend of total European water withdrawals is expected to decrease by 10%, and a change of the main sectoral water use in Europe is observed. At present, the most important sector in Northern Europe is the electricity production, but in the future it is assumed to be the manufacturing sector. In the new EU Member States, the most important sector is the electricity production, but this is expected to be replaced by the domestic sector. Water withdrawals in Southern Europe and in the EU Candidate States are currently dominated by agricultural water use and are expected to remain so.Text/Conference Paper